Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 392.082814 445.378361 504.592005 575.494443 658.391524 752.612364 868.329781
2025-11-09 318.730190 390.091184 476.691038 590.507107 737.609959 923.315037 1178.677487
2025-11-16 272.366141 349.898008 449.604944 589.122665 782.343452 1045.062902 1437.309015
2025-11-23 237.862908 317.338154 424.312568 581.691703 812.255137 1145.657890 1679.429607
2025-11-30 215.005473 296.296008 410.111869 585.074366 854.544385 1266.520017 1969.959633
2025-12-07 192.794510 272.966140 388.987445 574.115614 871.773956 1349.501487 2213.238138
2025-12-14 176.104553 255.505681 373.917740 569.446861 896.653874 1446.398270 2496.308582
2025-12-21 157.632142 233.342437 349.085521 545.740453 886.092380 1480.643462 2671.173359
2025-12-28 150.745286 228.213676 349.990138 563.698187 948.088007 1650.566007 3137.718974
2026-01-04 145.600979 225.217594 353.772836 586.581061 1021.468395 1852.709548 3714.277961
2026-01-11 137.216076 216.114332 346.423187 588.799958 1056.508280 1986.020851 4173.559415
2026-01-18 127.118525 203.273740 331.476119 575.416518 1059.434783 2054.390292 4500.176297
2026-01-25 118.349082 192.151775 318.801418 565.395618 1068.777720 2140.143627 4896.156663
2026-02-01 114.294316 188.854541 319.680136 581.334317 1133.612656 2358.649871 5687.467056
2026-02-08 108.160237 181.358013 312.208595 579.910898 1161.267740 2497.501825 6306.464342
2026-02-15 101.829600 173.006724 302.400254 572.619382 1174.905457 2605.425908 6869.722815
2026-02-22 97.402799 167.784259 298.009410 575.939952 1212.814290 2779.802894 7684.220251
2026-03-01 91.680369 159.734874 287.507336 565.181586 1216.418088 2867.276515 8254.554421
2026-03-08 87.132280 153.583009 280.221728 560.597999 1234.162368 2995.611842 9003.004906
2026-03-15 80.931898 143.870377 265.136577 537.322162 1202.955945 2984.596014 9266.565522
2026-03-22 79.431547 143.152890 268.124563 554.954026 1277.162455 3285.904728 10774.422547
2026-03-29 78.442199 143.355470 272.990401 577.419055 1367.451650 3654.975450 12703.641043
2026-04-05 75.601457 139.663371 269.408650 579.597283 1403.938612 3868.265700 14093.797104